No accountability in their doublespeak means no partisan interest, no lobby prescribing how to spin the news. This is what they (and the downvoters here) don't like.

Prediction markets as a news source are politically unbiased and nonpartisan , and this is what the establishment people here don't like.

They are partisan. It's just whoever decides to make the bets. Like the 2022 election situation was just one big whale. There's just nothing about it that makes it inherently non-partisan.

A partisan bet makes the opposite position slightly more profitable, attracting bets which equilibrate the market back at fair prices (i.e. realistic probabilities)

Yeah but they markets don't equilibrate. Again, the 2022 election pool just reflected the thought of a big whale.

A whale just means the market gets more mis-priced, creating greater incentive for correction, which typically occurs.

Let's for a moment say you're right, and prediction markets do have a flaw (that if someone wants to spend a lot of money making an outcome look more/less likely), that's an imperfection vs the many biases in other information sources.

tl;dr prediction markets financially penalise providing misleading information, whereas traditional media profit from misleading information

Still waiting for anyone to point to any good done by prediction markets

The cancerous Wikileaks which also leaked news just like prediction markets has also been eliminated. I hope you celebrated.

It's a difference between peer-to-peer Bitcoin decentralization and extreme AI datacenter centralization. Open weight models currently also require centralized datacenters for training, even though inference can be done decentralized.. We will see whether centralization or decentralization wins long term.

Have you thought about the fact that the author is in the Philippines and English isn’t his first language?

Yes, I did think about that possibility. Using a tool to translate to english doesn't mean we don't proofread it.

Ok, I hear you: one could argue that they simply don't realize this is a very non-idiomatic way of writing precisely because english isn't their first language. And that simply giving a preamble "sorry, my english comes from a translation tool, excuse any mistakes" would seem obtuse next to every english text they write.

Ok, I'll concede that. In which case I just have to accept the fact that, perhaps, if LLMs don't solve the problem of writing like garbage, and people keep using them to translate, a bunch of us will simply not want to read what you translate because it reads terribly and messes my brain up.

However, I find it hard to believe that an LLM would translate anything they've written into such a clear LLM trope. I would find it much more believable that they simply brainstormed to an LLM in their language and had the LLM build (at least that part of) the article from it. Even if they proofread it, since english is not their language, it slipped by. Either way, in this hypothetical scenario, the LLM was still used to write (at least a part of) the article, not just translate it.

I also find it somewhat hard to believe that someone who I believe is a developer (and has been using claude for a very long time) does not know enough of both english and claude to identify this specific pattern in the text they are putting their own name to it.

So, sure, maybe the author doesn't predominantly write in english or interact with claude in english, and they did write everything and simply piped it through an LLM to get a translation and, after proofreading the best they could, just didn't notice that.

Alternatively, maybe they just don't give a fuck, something which I can absolutely respect. They lose a reader (at least for now), but stand by what makes sense to them and I genuinely don't think less of them because of it -- I just can't read what they produce. I _would_ probably think less of them if I had to work every day with them and this were a repeated pattern of interaction, but that's not what's being discussed at all.

(Disclaimer: English isn't my first language either, which I think also does come across)

And? I’d rather reader poorly written English written by a person about his actual experience - or just read nothing at all - as opposed to reading thinking and writing that has been outsourced to a machine. Being able to think and write confers privileges on those who can do both; the idea that somebody should be able to benefit by doing neither is pretty fucking perverse.

Good case for shorting Uber longer term. The Persian taxi driver may be a good exec but he lost the race

No, because it's not cross platform, it doesn't take you outside of a Google product

I just spent 50% of my weekly Sol Ultra on a $100 plan to purge Claude worktrees on something that may have tripped Fable guardrails.

Carry a second cheap smartphone, like Pixel -a series or iPhone -SE. That one should be used for banking, government apps, for border inspections, etc. On your main GrapheneOS phone your financial app should be a Bitcoin wallet. The main phone should be off or in the BFU state when you are in a vulnerable situation.

If true, I think Trump is nuts. He's alienating the very people in the Silicon Valley that helped him to win.