After they acquired Cursor, Grok 4.5 seems like a completely new model, performing at Opus 4.6 level, I'd say. But much cheaper and faster.

maybe it is Grokimi?

https://venturebeat.com/technology/cursors-composer-2-was-se...

And our robots still look far from capable of changing bike tires...

That's not OP's contention though; it's that models are incapable of even surfacing sufficient information. This doesn't pass the smell test.

To wit, here is ChatGPT's "superintelligent" answer: https://chatgpt.com/s/t_6a52b4a322bc81919308ec864a0cc056

Seems like a perfectly cromulent description by which a beginner could probably change a tire, perhaps with a few follow-ups to understand what certain components are.

I read his contention as “the people who wrote AI 2040 are nerds who are so ungrounded from physical reality they wouldn’t even know how to change a bike tire if given instructions”. Which I think is also wrong but has a genuine criticism in it.

sure, they have strong bay area aura, but an ad hominem is not very useful criticism of the actual arguments for AI safety (and longtermism, and against x-risks in general).

Might be premature to say that...Elon is essentially betting all of Tesla on the fact that a robot can change a bike tire soon, if he is wrong he might have to come up with some new BS to keep surviving, but maybe he is partially right and a robot ends up being able to change some bike tires sometimes.

I agree with you for some kinds of images, but not all.

LLMs are the best PDF-to-markdown converters, in my experience. I have a CLI that converts PDF to PNG, then run a background agent to "read" each PNG and write it down as markdown; it works flawlessly even for complex math formulas, it can "translate" complex charts, graphs, and tables into words.

It's slow and arguably expensive compared to traditional OCR, but very effective and precise.

That study seems to be confounding factors and rushing to a questionable conclusion.

A very plausible explanation for the adenoma detection rate to have gone down is simply that its prevalence went down among the population in the second three-month period.

This was not a randomized trial. Concluding that "AI usage degrades physicians' skills" is questionable at the very least.

There's a whole bunch of other studies on this topic, as well as metastudies, and from what I can tell the problem is real.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S245195882... (+ cf. its references)

What's the value of something that has no utility and is not linked to anything useful or valuable?

I think this is analogous to diseases and vaccines. You don't immunize a child by exposing it to the pathogen, but to a modified version of it that poses no threat to their health, but still allows their immune system to recognize and produce anti bodies.

The same applies to teaching "street smarts" to kids. You don't do it by throwing them in a hostile environment where they'll be prey to hostile people without having any defenses built up first.

Empirical research [1] [2] shows that your worry is unfounded.

[1] Homeschooled Children’s Social Skills: https://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED573486.pdf

[2] Homeschooling and the Question of Socialization Revisited: https://www.stetson.edu/artsci/psychology/media/medlin-socia...

Edit: if I had to bet (don't know any research), schools nowadays are the main producers of intolerance, with the indoctrination and teaching kids to only respect civil discourse, ideas and opinions if they agree with the mainstream world model.

Can they know the SIM location precisely? I believe they can only triangulate multiple towers to determine a radius. If they could pinpoint a specific, narrow location, it'd be easier to spot unusual concentration.

I use hundreds, if not thousands, of third party software in my Linux OS and I don't think the OS is in a sad state.

I think many Apple users, especially people in the software industry, would prefer Apple software to be open source. It's not that they don't care, it's just that Apple quality is superior in multiple ways (hardware and software).

And it's not a coincidence that their software is closed. They can command ridiculously high margins and continue to invest in high quality products.

I think we'll just have to agree to disagree that Apple's software is superior. Their hardware would be a lot better if the software was.

A lot of their software is better in many ways than e.g. Samsung’s software. However, you do run into artificial limitations (e.g. no sideloading).